After more than seventy peace plans and initiatives to end the conflict in Palestine (all of them failed), confidence in a just, global and lasting resolution is scarce today, as is the ability to invent a novel way. However, Jared Kushner, on behalf of the Trump Administration, has long been determined to announce that his still unknown plan is unlike any other and that, in addition, it will be final. A message that Washington now reinforces on the occasion of the international economic meeting that begins this Tuesday in Bahrain and, except for a miracle, seems also doomed to failure.
To reach that negative augury, it is enough to take into consideration the following points:
- The so-called “agreement of the century” has not yet been presented, so participants in the Manama workshop (Kushner has not dared to call it a conference) are being asked to commit their investment funds and sign commercial contracts to blind Conditioned by the Israeli electoral calendar – with Benjamin Netanyahu forced into a new call that seriously endangers his personal and political position – his postponement has long been delayed, while some rumors have been leaked interestingly, in any case, Doubt about its true reach.
- Hamas has not been invited and the Palestinian Authority has not only rejected its presence in Bahrain as a sign of total distancing with an openly pro-Israel administration and has closed all channels of dialogue with the Palestinian authorities, but the class itself is doing Palestinian business. Entrepreneurs are frustrated after so many broken promises. Along the same lines, both Egypt and Jordan (despite their clear subordination to Washington) have indicated that they will only send their vice-ministers of finance and even Israel itself has shown a little disguised ambiguity about the level of its representation. As for the European Union, only Poland (increasingly aligned with Trump) has announced the sending of a first-level delegation.
- The formula for ‘peace for prosperity’ is anything but novel. The attempt to buy peace by economic means was already at the base of the so-called Oslo Accords, trying to convince the Palestinians that their signature on the documents produced than would immediately mean a substantial improvement in their level of well-being. Time soon was responsible for confirming that the standard of living of the employed population (and of refugees) not only did not increase but fell sharply. And so it was not only because the commitments acquired in the successive donor conferences were never fulfilled nor were the agreements reached in the so-called MENA Conferences (which sought to encourage the participation of international investors and entrepreneurs),
- Six wars and two intifadas later it seems clear that the Palestinians will not give up on their political objective of one day having their own State. It is true that being the weak part of the equation, they do not have the slightest option of defeating the occupying power by force, but it is also true that Israel has not achieved, despite its undeniable superiority, eliminating that aspiration even by the force or the purchase of wills at any price. In spite of the internal fragmentation that weakens them even more, it seems clear that the dignity of the Palestinian people is a wall sufficiently resistant to the avalanche of projects (there is talk of about 175) listed by Kushner and his team in a gesture that seems most a letter to the Magi, hoping that it is the Arab countries and international investors who put their money into play (happily estimated at about 50,000 million dollars). It is still shocking that he himself The US that has cut all economic aid to the Palestinians, is the same that now drives an economic route (with money from others) as a method of resolution.
- Without ending the occupation begun in 1967, it is impossible to imagine a minimally attractive future for the Palestinians. The key to one day leaving the tunnel in which Palestine has been so long involved does not happen by reverting old projects, such as the construction of a land link between Gaza and the West Bank, or returning to the eternal dream of turning it into a new Singapore or a new tourist emporium. The true beginning of the road to peace – assuming that the solution to the conflict cannot be economic, but political – imperiously passes to end the Israeli occupation started in 1967 and, of course, nothing can be taken for granted if agreements are not reached. balanced over borders, Jerusalem and refugees.
If it is taken for granted that all that Washington should also know, the organization of the meeting in Manama is only explained by the high self-esteem that characterizes both Trump and Kushner, believing that his negotiating ability is infinite and that, combining the stick and the carrot, they will overcome all obstacles. The alternative explanation is no less reassuring: it seeks to stage a Palestinian frontal rejection in order to justify, on the one hand, that there is no interlocutor for peace and, on the other, that Netanyahu’s Israel feels stronger to take the next step, annexing the part of the West Bank that it considers necessary. In those we are.